Altman can try to hype up how everyones going to subscribe to them someday all the while their subscriber base is being eaten up by competitors.

https://www.wheresyoured.at/openai-projects-chatgpt-plus-subscriptions-to-drop-by-80-from-44-million-in-2025-to-9-million-in-2026-made-up-using-cheaper-subscriptions-somehow/

Local stuff. I still believe the small parameter, ~1B free local, ones will suffice for the vast majority of how people use LLMs and there’s still going to be a few years of improvements there until investments dry up. Eventually I bet more and more phone companies will include one of these small ones out the box. Pretty much like a nice search engine that works offline like if you’re out on a major hike. Cloud stuff, there’ll be stuff like Proton’s Lumo where they’re taking free open weight stuff and piecing them together for users.

OpenAI’s thing is they’ll make up for falling subscribers with advertising. So pretty much we’re advancing fast in the search engine race of the 90s/early aughts. We’ll at least have Gemini. ChatGPT maybe ends up crashes in value someday and bought up by Microsoft or some other company. Deepseek, Qwen, Kimi. Claude like ChatGPT maybe survices or crashes and gets adsorbed by another company. Proton continue to exist as the company making AI products out of free stuff. Eventually the pace of improvements moves at a crawl and it’s pointless to be paying for the best paywalled stuff. Just use the free stuff like how everyone mostly uses free search engines

I do not use it as my default text editor but I use it practically every working day. Plenty of times it’s the only thing I have available to me. Pretty often vi is all I have to work with

We acting like people in the art community weren’t hyped up over AI until they started generating images. Before chatgpt, it was all about automating coding/it and other jobs that arent considered art. Back then it was all about how everyone could pursue their passions. The only people not excited were all the transportation employees and factory workers that had been told by the general public how excited they were to replace them

I suppose so. I’d rather they spell it out for simple readability. Like I don’t know what Krita means but easy to read. Kate text editor may mean something, I don’t know. Kdenlive is easy to read. Don’t know what the ‘den’ part is supposed to mean

Apparently it’s “KDE Non-Linear Video Editor”. At least kdenlive is easy to read in my opinion

It took me reading the comments here to get that it’s pronounced Wilbur. I don’t get why it needs to be an acronym

I just did the upgrade from 25.10 and am very entertained that it has wobbly windows on by default

Linux is legit pretty easy now comparable to Windows. It’s application preferences and familiarity that keeps people at bay. New to computer user, I don’t think they’d struggle anymore with a gnome or kde linux desktop than with windows. to do the regular stuff people do. Browse the internet. Save their photos/documents in some folders

A couple more years of FEX development and I’m betting we’ll be close to as compatible as year one Steam Deck

By the PS5 release date, I was over the cinematic AAA narrative style of game. That’s what Sony makes so I don’t have urgency to buy them. Really only interested in them when they’re really cheap and primarily to play a little to show off graphics to myself before I go back to playing games with graphics where uncapped I get like 300+ fps. Since the start of the PS5 gen, the only Sony game I’ve purchased so far is Ghost of Tsushima. Was only planning on Yotei but that’s off the table now

Impulse early on used to be as good as Steam and it had extra software in it to download like Stardock Fences that I liked. I felt it a bit infuriating that Stardock didn’t seem to see its potential and then the same for gamestop. It had Demigod and a handful of other games. It was a successor to Stardock Central. Stardock digital storefronts predated Steam but Stardock didn’t have the right vision compared to Valve and GameStop didn’t after buying Impulse

It was still mainstream to say PC gaming was dieing until like 2014 so I guess no surprise how little so many companies wanted to invest in a PC platform but that’s what makes Valve special. When PC gaming shelf space was disappearing in brick and mortar and old guard PC game studios were calling the platform a dead end (Epic), Valve was building up Steam as a relatively small company long before they had their live service sugar daddies in TF2, CSGO, and DOTA2

Then Valve again with Steam on Linux. Steam Linux share hits 5% this year in 2026. Steam Linux went into public beta 2012. They’ve been working on Linux for at least 14 years and it’s starting to look like it’ll pay off

I wanted Impulse to succeed as well because I thought PC gaming needed numerous major desktop client storefronts to save PC gaming. Turned out Valve would improve Steam beyond anyone’s expectations and doing that with anemic competitor challenges to push them

It shouldn’t be hard by 2030 I imagine; particularly if you primarily or exclusively use open source software. The RVA23 chips announced I usually see people comment them as having synthetic benchmark scores at about the Apple M1 level. I regularly use a laptop with a Skylake dual core in it and a Raspberry Pi 5 run off a microsd rather than a m.2 NVME hat. With that in mind, if RISC-V designs don’t get any better than that in the next 4 years, they’ll still be better than hardware that I will still be using. I still use a Raspberry Pi 3. At work every now and then I’ll throw a gitlab runner on a 10 year old desktop to have another thing building when things are busy

There are RISC-V developer boards today with PCI-E slots that you can throw in pretty much any AMD graphics card. The big distributions Debian, Fedora, Ubuntu, Red Hat - they all support risc-v. felix86 is equivalent to box64 and FEX for x86 to ARM:

https://felix86.com/felix86-26-04/

Software support is solid already today. It’s hardware availability for the announced RVA23 designs that’s not mature yet. 4 more years and I imagine in most cases the experience of Linux on RISC-V hardware not being much different than on ARM or x86 hardware

More popular. More users. Higher percentage of desktop/laptop PC users

Flatpak permissions handled in a very easy to use way. No silent failure. No need to go to flatseal and users understand why something didn’t work how they expected and what they need to do to fix it

Growing Linux userbase eventually results in great day one support for new products from Qualcomm, ARM mali GPUs, PowerVR, etc. They’ll want to be able to compete year after year with Intel and AMD someday

Someday native Linux games rather than WINE/Proton will become the norm

Popular media software categories continue seeing open source software gain mainstream/professional viability. Talking like Blender, Godot, Krita today. Someday stuff like Kdenlive, Scribus, Inkscape, Ardour, GIMP, Darktable, etc will breach some line of good enough functionality, interface design. Someday the user base will grow enough and enough will make it into industry with their experience and opinions

Someday more normal Linux phone OS’s like PostmarketOS will become a solid piece of the mobile pie. Like ~5%. Like how desktop Linux is today. Good usability but still working up to streamlined. That’ll be way better than today. In what I imagine would be well over a decade when a Linux phone is as popular as desktop Linux is today, it’ll actually be pretty easy to use like desktop Linux is today

I see everything through the lens of the difference in user experience and mainstream penetration of 2010 compared to today. Like Kdenlive of 2010 compared to today. 2010 Blender vs today’s Blender. 2010 OpenOffice compared to 2026 Libreoffice. Gaming with WINE in 2010 to today with Proton/WINE/Steam. Unity/KDE/GNOME/etc of 2010 compared to today.

Always complaints about battery/heat like the only thing people will try and play are AAA graphics champs. Hades isn’t hard to run. You can play the old Flatout games. Stardew Valley and Terreria with your cloud saves. There are tons of games coming out every year that looks like they could run on anything from a SNES to a PS Vita. Pretty much any game available on the Switch that is on Steam is super easy to run. Like the Ys games I’ve tried in Gamehub

On mobile Wuthering Waves, Zenless Zone Zero, Genshin Impact, etc are super popular. Warframe just released for mobile. Albion Online. People have some 5+ years outdated opinions mobile gaming

That’ll be nice to see. I like Collabora but haven’t tried hosting it. Opening that up and LibreOffice up side by side with the tabbed interface, barely any different. Maybe LibreOffice exposes way more buttons in each tab so maybe more intimidating but it looks pretty good compared to what I remember when the tabbed interface was first made available. Looking forward to seeing this progress

I know Element sucks compared to Discord but with more users and potential funding interest from that user base growth, it can get a lot better and snowball to fast improvements. Blender was the butt of jokes until version 2.8. Like 15 years of being easily dismissed as major commercial production worthy. Element can get better. It’s the story of pretty much all the well regarded general consumer targeted open source software we use today

I really enjoyed the first game but couldn’t get through the second. Too much of the same without the interesting enough for me mystery. Enough reveals in the second game and my interest in the story tanked

Regardless of that, I ignored this news until I started reading that this is actually guerilla games studios work straight up rather than licensed out development with them more as narrative/art consultants. The game doesn’t look small. What’s the developmental state of a third game when this is a main studio game rather than a licensed out game

At least GPD Win now considers Linux important enough to now try to make up claims to some sort of partnership. Lenovo ships SteamOS devices. Zotac ships Manjaro devices. Good trajectory for Linux on handhelds

They can’t really be trying as well as they can afford. The Steam Deck is almost 4 years old and they still have no answer for Steam Big Picture. No built into the EGS client remote play to an Android/iOS phone. They’re just a Fortnite company with a vestigial game engine and traditional games storefront. Their real video game storefront is now in fortnite

Here’s a video about kdenlive

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9dIqJDy78TI

Switched when the OG Steam Machines came out. It wasn’t great then. It wasn’t really good until Proton Steam integration. Became great after the fast iteration with the Steam Deck

I know the hot thing is Bazzite but if you want to use it as a desktop as well, please at least use Fedora Kinoite or Silverblue. Personally I use the latest Kubuntu release so now I’m on Kubuntu 25.10, will upgrade to 26.04 when prompted, do the same with 26.10. Update cycle not so different than the larger windows updates each year. Just that every now and then a new Windows software ports to Linux, it’ll almost always be a deb installer is reason enough to me to prefer Debian based distributions than Fedora or Arch especially for new users. Don’t need to get people to install distrobox and boxbuddy. Kubuntu should just be enabling flatpaks and flathub by default rather than it being a option in the software center settings